All publications are freely available at the “preprint” or “pdf” link next to each paper

Publications in Progress

Callahan, C.W., Trok, J., Wilson, A., Gould, C.F., Heft-Neal, S., Burke, M., & Diffenbaugh, N.S. (in review) “Quantifying the contributions of climate change and adaptation to mortality from unprecedented extreme heat events.” | preprint

Callahan, C.W., Trok, J., Wilson, A., Gould, C.F., Heft-Neal, S., Diffenbaugh, N.S., & Burke, M. (in review) “Intensifying risk of mass human heat mortality if historical weather patterns recur.” | preprint

Gould, C.F., Heft-Neal, S., Heaney, A.K., Kiang, M.V., Callahan, C.W., Bendavid, E., Graff Zivin, J., & Burke, M. (in revision) “Temperature extremes impact mortality and morbidity differently.” | preprint

Burke, M., Zahid, M., Martins, M., Callahan, C.W., Avirmed, K., Wallstein, J., Lee, R., Amgalan, J., Jing, R., Heft-Neal, S., Young, R., Wilson, A., Aguilar-Gomez, S., Kiang, M., Hsiang, S., & Lobell, D. (submitted) “No clear evidence society is becoming less sensitive to climate.” | preprint

Kotz, M., Callahan, C.W., Stechemesser, A., & Wenz, L. (submitted) “Persistent macroeconomic damages raise social cost of carbon.” | preprint

Callahan, C.W., Baldwin, J.W., Jing, R., Burke, M., & Diffenbaugh, N.S. (submitted) “Large indirect economic impacts of tropical cyclones shaped by disaster response.” | preprint

Peer-Reviewed Publications

Callahan, C.W. & Mankin, J.S. (2025) “Carbon majors and the scientific case for climate liability.” Nature, 10.1038/s41586-025-08751-3, | link, pdf, free-to-read online link, replication code

See press coverage: New York Times, Associated Press, Washington Post, Science, Dartmouth News

Callahan, C.W. (2025) “Present and future limits to climate change adaptation.” Nature Sustainability, 10.1038/s41893-025-01519-7 | pdf, free-to-read online link, preprint

Callahan, C.W. & Mankin, J.S. (2023) "Persistent effect of El Niño on global economic growth." Science, 10.1126/science.adf2983 | link, pdf, free-to-read online link, replication code, preprint

See press coverage: Associated Press, Bloomberg, Grist, Vox, Axios, New Scientist, Washington Post, Dartmouth News

Op-ed we wrote for the LA Times about the paper

Callahan, C.W., Dominy, N.J., DeSilva, J.M., & Mankin, J.S. (2023) "Global warming, home runs, and the future of America's pastime." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0235.1 | link, pdf, replication code

See press coverage: Washington Post, CNN, Associated Press, Time, Guardian, Science, Gizmodo, Dartmouth News

Blog post we wrote for The Conversation about the paper

Callahan, C.W. & Mankin, J.S. (2022) "Globally unequal effect of extreme heat on economic growth." Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.add3726 | link, pdf, replication code, global subnational income data

See press coverage: Bloomberg, Guardian, Nature, Carbon Brief, New Scientist, Dartmouth News

Callahan, C.W. & Mankin, J.S. (2022) “National attribution of historical climate damages.” Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-022-03387-y | link, pdf, replication code

See press coverage: CNN, Guardian, Washington Post, Reuters, BBC, Associated Press, Dartmouth News

Website for downloading country-by-country results

Blog post we wrote for Lawfare about loss and damage and climate liability

Callahan, C.W., Chen, C., Rugenstein, M., Bloch-Johnson, J., Yang, S., & Moyer, E.J. (2021) “Robust decrease in El Niño/Southern Oscillation amplitude under long-term warming.” Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-021-01099-2 | link, pdf, replication code

Erbaugh, J.T., Callahan, C.W., Finger Higgens, R., DeSiervo, M., Bolger, D.T., Cox, M., & Howarth, R.B. (2021) “Sociotechnical stability and equilibrium.” Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 10.1016/j.cosust.2021.01.003 | link, pdf

Callahan, C.W. & Mankin, J.S. (2020) “The influence of internal climate variability on projections of synoptically driven Beijing haze.” Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2020GL088548 | link, pdf

Callahan, C.W., Schnell, J.L., & Horton, D.E. (2019) “Multi-index attribution of extreme winter air quality in Beijing, China.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2018JD029738 | link, pdf